Dia de la Metereologia - El dia De
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El Dia De
Dia de la Metereologia - El dia De
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Benvinguts al tercer capítol
Welcome to the third chapter.
del programa El Dia D,
from the program El Dia D,
coproduït per Vilau i Bontinyent,
co-produced by Vilau and Bontinyent,
Produccions Benicadell i Televisió Digital
Benicadell Productions and Digital Television
Bontinyent. Avui parlem del
Bontinyent. Today we talk about the
Dia Internacional de la Meteorologia.
International Meteorology Day.
Tots els anys, el 23 de març,
Every year, on March 23,
l'Organització Meteorològica Mundial,
the World Meteorological Organization,
composta per 191 membres,
composed of 191 members,
i la Comunitat Meteorològica Internacional,
and the International Meteorological Community,
celebren el Dia de la Meteorologia Mundial,
they celebrate World Meteorology Day,
mitjançant un fàrum científic
through a scientific forum
i tècnic en el seu de Ginebra.
and technician in his Geneva.
Des de molt d'antic,
Since ancient times,
la humanitat ha tingut la necessitat de preveure
Humanity has had the need to foresee.
el temps. L'observació del cel
the weather. The observation of the sky
sempre ha estat un punt d'inici en moltes
it has always been a starting point in many
prediccions, mites i temors.
predictions, myths and fears.
També en el fet d'observar l'estat, com la
Also in the act of observing the state, like the
migració i el comportament de les aules.
migration and classroom behavior.
Les primeres referències a les
The first references to the
prediccions ja es paren fer a l'antiga
predictions are already being made in the old way
Babilònia, on es celebrava
Babylon, where it was celebrated
una cerimònia on es preveia el temps
a ceremony where the weather was forecasted
per cada un dels 12 mesos de l'any.
for each of the 12 months of the year.
I que a Espanya ara es coneix
And that in Spain is now known
com a les cabanyoles. Actualment,
like the cabins. Currently,
la meteorologia es considera que,
meteorology is considered that,
a pesar de les prediccions a curt
despite the short-term predictions
plaç, mitjançant el saber popular
place, through popular knowledge
i l'experiència, és totalment factible.
And the experience is totally feasible.
No passa així amb la predicció
It doesn't happen like that with the prediction.
a llarg plaç.
in the long term.
Avui, al nostre tercer podcast,
Today, in our third podcast,
tractem el Dia Mundial de la Meteorologia.
We address World Meteorology Day.
Per tractar d'aquest tema, comptem
To address this topic, we have
amb Jesús Martí, creador
with Jesús Martí, creator
de la pàgina Últimet i l'associació
from the page Últimet and the association
Amaemet. Bon dia, Jesús.
Good morning, Jesús.
Hola, bon dia.
Hello, good morning.
En primer lloc,
First of all,
m'agradaria que ens expliquessis perquè
I would like you to explain to us why.
tu realment no et dediques a això
you really don't do this for a living
professionalment, sinó que és
professionally, but it is
una afició. Com neix aquesta afició?
a hobby. How does this hobby come about?
Així és, bueno,
That's right, well,
ja fa molts, molts anys,
many, many years ago,
bueno, molts anys, podrien ser
well, many years, they could be
10 o 12,
10 or 12,
jo sempre em sentia
I always felt.
atragut un poc
pulled a little
pel tema de l'horatge,
about the topic of the weather,
el fred, la neu, la pluja,
the cold, the snow, the rain,
sobretot quan plou molt fort, els
especially when it rains very heavily, the
episodis de meteorològics
meteorological episodes
que són més intensos, és que
that are more intense, it's that
t'acredit més l'atenció, és que estàs mirant
You're paying more attention, it's that you're looking.
per la finestra i sempre t'atrapen
through the window and they always catch you
un poc, no?, a l'hora de mirar-los
a little, right?, when it comes to looking at them
i contemplar-los. Jo, de fet, en algun
and contemplate them. I, in fact, at some
examen he intentat
exam I have tried
acabar abans per tal de veure un poc
finish earlier in order to see a little
com estava plouent fora de València, no?
As it was raining outside Valencia, right?
O sea, a vegades he fet un poc
I mean, sometimes I've done a little.
algunes coses que no serien molt
some things that wouldn't be very
normals, però bueno, en este món, si t'agrada,
normal, but well, in this world, if you like it,
suposa que l'immediatesa que és
supposes that it is the immediacy
la meteorologia en si,
the meteorology itself,
doncs és una cosa molt atrayent.
well, it is a very appealing thing.
I a partir d'ahí crees
And from there you create.
un timet?
a coward?
Et dediques a fer estudis?
Are you studying?
Sí, bueno, sí. En 2005
Yes, well, yes. In 2005.
vas decidir...
you decided...
En 2004 em vas comprar
In 2004 you bought me.
la meva primera estació meteorològica
my first weather station
entre cometes
in quotation marks
semiprofessional,
semiprofessional,
la vas adquirir estalviant uns
you acquired it by saving some
nadals, treballant per ahir,
Christmas, working for yesterday,
i realment, doncs,
and really, then,
a partir d'ahir tot ja es va
From yesterday, everything is already going.
massificar a nivell de
massify at the level of
més material, més contingut,
more material, more content,
i més idees que volia posar
and more ideas that I wanted to present
un poc en...
a little in...
en comú amb més gent, i per què
in common with more people, and why
no compartir, la possibilitat de compartir
not share, the possibility of sharing
el que tu mateix estàs
what you yourself are
descobrint o el que t'agrada, doncs jo crec
discovering or what you like, because I believe
que és el que agrada a tot el món, no?
What is it that everyone likes, right?
Difondre allò que t'agrada.
Spread what you love.
I si d'amunt, doncs, li pots
And if from above, then you can give it to him/her.
donar més publicitat i
give more publicity and
d'alguna manera estàs...
in some way you are...
no sé, realment
I don't know, really.
estàs donant un servei
you are providing a service
a la teua comunitat més propera, no?
to your closest community, right?
I l'any 2005
And in the year 2005
doncs vas decidir, vas
so you decided, you go
crear la pàgina web d'Untimet.
create the website of Untimet.
En aquell moment es deia
At that moment it was said
Untimeteo, era molt curiós perquè
Untimeteo, it was very curious because
però el nom realment no
but the name really doesn't
no quadrava bé.
it didn't fit well.
I també un amic meu fa un temps em va
And also a friend of mine some time ago told me
comentar, bueno, jo en els fòrums de
to comment, well, I in the forums of
meteorologia, on els aficionats
meteorology, where enthusiasts
i tot això participem i
and we all participate in this and
més activament,
more actively,
jo em dic Timonet Gelat.
My name is Timonet Gelat.
Bueno, doncs la gràcia de tot això
Well, then the point of all this
és que si tu vas
it's that if you go
mesclar cada una de les
mix each of the
lletres de la paraula Timonet,
letters of the word Timonet,
extraus també Untimet.
You also extract Untimet.
I és una cosa que
And it's something that
té com... és una senyal,
it has like... it's a sign,
no? Pareix que sigui una senyal això.
No? It seems like a sign, this.
I bueno, la veritat
And well, the truth is
és que Untimet va començar en 2005
Untimet started in 2005.
entre cometes i bueno, a partir de la meva
"between quotes and well, based on my"
estació, doncs, vas decidir publicar
station, so you decided to publish
unes dades. Em vaig unir
some data. I joined
en seguida a una xarxa també d'aficionats
immediately to a network of enthusiasts as well
que s'anomenava
that was called
Meteoclimàtic, que encara existeix, per supòs.
Meteoclimatic, which still exists, of course.
I...
I...
Meteoclimàtic era una xarxa que
Meteoclimatic was a network that
a través d'una plataforma web
through a web platform
t'ajudava, entre cometes, a publicar les teves
"helped you, in quotes, to publish yours"
dades a internet sense
data on the internet without
tindre coneixements de programació
to have programming knowledge
a nivell d'informàtica per a programar
at the level of computer science for programming
una pàgina web ni res d'això.
a website or anything like that.
I actualment, doncs,
And currently, therefore,
continua ahí. Després va vindre
continue there. Then he/she/it came.
l'associació
the association
i actualment ja no donem
and currently we no longer give
per a més. Per a que siguin
for more. For them to be
afició ja... és que...
hobby, well... it's just that...
no pot ser més. Tindria ja que ser
It can't be more. It should already be.
una feina que ara mateix ja no pot ser.
a job that right now cannot be.
Conta'ns el teu mètode.
Tell us your method.
Conta'ns com funciona
Tell us how it works.
això d'intentar
this trying
preveure el temps mitjançant
forecasting the weather through
l'estudi de
the study of
lo que ha passat i del que passarà.
what has happened and what will happen.
Mira, moltes vegades la
Look, many times the
meteorologia, la gent,
meteorology, the people,
la dada que més li interessa
the data that interests him/her most
és, evidentment, les previsions.
It is, of course, the predictions.
Les previsions de l'horatge que farà.
The weather forecast for the upcoming weather.
I precisament a la gent que és més aficionada
And precisely to the people who are more enthusiastic.
a la meteorologia està clar que ens
In meteorology, it is clear that we
agraden les previsions i
they like the forecasts and
vore un poc com deriva un tipus
to see a bit how a type drifts
d'horatge i com afecta
of time and how it affects
la teua part del territori més directa.
your most direct part of the territory.
Però realment, els
But really, the
amics de la meteorologia, doncs,
friends of meteorology, then,
si t'agrada la meteorologia és que
if you like meteorology it means that
t'agrada... poden agrair-te moltes coses.
you like... they can thank you for many things.
Des de la fotografia
From the photograph
de tots els meteors que
of all the meteors that
s'obsedeixen al cel, com podria ser
they are obsessed with the sky, how could it be
un ar de Sant Martí,
a rainbow,
un cumulonimbus, que és el
a cumulonimbus, which is the
núvol més gran aquest de
larger cloud this of
Tornada, de Tempesta,
Return, from Tempest,
i en definitiva
and ultimately
podria agradar-te també el senderisme,
you might also like hiking,
podria agradar-te també
it might also please you
simplement
simply
gaudir d'una bona passejada,
enjoy a nice walk,
i en definitiva
and ultimately
també disfrutes de
also enjoy
per exemple, per què no, passejar
for example, why not, take a walk
mentre està ploguent. Si tu tens un bon paraigües
while it is raining. If you have a good umbrella
i tu vas ben equipat,
and you are well equipped,
o per què no, és a dir, tu pots anar
or why not, I mean, you can go
pel carrer i fent
in the street and doing
molt de fred i estàs disfrutant d'aquest horatge.
very cold and you are enjoying this weather.
El que passa és que has d'anar ben equipat.
What's happening is that you have to be well-equipped.
És igual que la gent que fa
It's the same as the people who do.
travessies en la neu, per exemple.
traverses in the snow, for example.
Aleshores, la meteorologia
So, the meteorology
és qüestió de previsions,
it's a matter of forecasts,
però és també, sobretot, disfrutar del temps actual.
but it is also, above all, to enjoy the present time.
De fet, la paraula meteorologia
In fact, the word meteorology
parla realment de l'horatge
does it really talk about the weather
actual, i quan ja parlaríem
now, and when we would already be talking
de climatologia
of climatology
parlaríem de sèries temporals
we would talk about time series
meteorològiques, realment.
meteorological, really.
I això és un error molt comú
And this is a very common mistake.
per ser en temes de comunicació,
to be in communication matters,
confondre la climatologia amb la meteorologia.
confusing climatology with meteorology.
Aparentment,
Apparently,
perquè la paraula climatologia
because the word climatology
queda estèticament millor en un text.
it looks aesthetically better in a text.
Però, en definitiva,
But, ultimately,
realment, les previsions,
really, the forecasts,
els aficionats
the fans
a la meteorologia seguim
to the weather we continue
uns models de previsió.
some forecasting models.
Uns models de previsió,
Some forecasting models,
perquè s'entenguem, és com si féssim una actual
So that we understand each other, it's as if we were doing a current.
fotografia al satèl·lit meteosat,
satellite photograph from Meteosat,
féssim una captura de pantalla al satèl·lit,
let's take a screenshot of the satellite,
i a través de
and through
molts diferents algoritmes,
many different algorithms,
uns ordenadors, uns supers ordenadors,
some computers, some supercomputers,
el que fan és
what they do is
calcular matemàticament
mathematically calculate
les probabilitats de com pot
the probabilities of how it can
menejar-se o no un anticicló i una
"To move or not to move an anticyclone and a"
borrasca, partint de la
storm, starting from the
imatge actual de satèl·lit.
current satellite image.
Evidentment, n'hi ha molts models,
Obviously, there are many models.
perquè n'hi ha molts diferents
because there are many different ones
algoritmes de càlcul,
calculation algorithms,
i bàsicament nosaltres el que fem és consultar-los.
And basically what we do is consult them.
Consultem diversos,
We consult several,
extraguem unes conclusions,
we draw some conclusions,
i a partir d'ahir
and starting from yesterday
més o menys ens fem una idea de
more or less we get an idea of
l'horatge que té que fer els pròxims
the weather that is going to happen next
des del
from the
dia de demà fins a
tomorrow until
quatre o cinc dies. Realment,
four or five days. Really,
a una setmana vista,
a week away,
l'horatge és molt complicat de predir.
The weather is very complicated to predict.
No té pràcticament
It has practically none.
cap validesa. De fet,
no validity. In fact,
per estar en el segle XXI,
to be in the 21st century,
la predicció meteorològica
the weather forecast
jo diria que no
I would say no.
s'ha avançat molt, realment.
A lot has been achieved, really.
És molt complicat.
It's very complicated.
La meteorologia és
Meteorology is
l'essència del caos, en definitiva.
the essence of chaos, ultimately.
No sé si coneixes
I don't know if you know.
la teoria que diuen que si
the theory that they say that it is true
meneges una fulla
you handle a leaf
o no sé com està això...
I don't know how this is...
Si meneges una fulla al Japó, als Estats Units
If you move a leaf in Japan, in the United States
es crearà una tempesta.
A storm will be created.
Exacte.
Exactly.
És molt caòtic.
It's very chaotic.
Realment és molt complicat
It is really very complicated.
arribar a un nivell de precisió
reach a level of precision
a l'hora de predir
at the time of predicting
la meteorologia, sobretot al Mediterrani.
the meteorology, especially in the Mediterranean.
El Mediterrani és una de les zones
The Mediterranean is one of the areas
del món més complicades
of the most complicated world
perquè el Mediterrani en si
because the Mediterranean itself
és un mar que, entre cometes,
it's a sea that, in quotes,
sempre està prou calent,
it is always warm enough,
sobretot a l'estiu i a la tardor.
especially in summer and autumn.
A la tardor el mar ha replegat
In autumn, the sea has gathered.
tota la calor de l'estiu
all the heat of summer
i, curiosament,
and, interestingly,
a primers de primavera
in early spring
és quan el mar està més gelat.
it's when the sea is colder.
El que tindrà un mar calent
The one who will have a warm sea.
sí que dona
yes it does
major improbabilitat
greater improbability
a l'hora de raonar una predicció.
when reasoning a prediction.
Per exemple, predir el temps
For example, predicting the weather.
al Mediterrani és molt senzill.
In the Mediterranean it is very simple.
Tu a cinc dies vista ja tens clar
You already have it clear five days in advance.
segurament si va a plorar o no
probably whether he/she cried or not
perquè la distància, calcular la velocitat
because the distance, calculate the speed
d'un front com va avançant per tot l'oceà
of a front as it advances across the ocean
és que no t'enganyes.
It's just that you're not fooling yourself.
En canvi, el Mediterrani
On the contrary, the Mediterranean
altera pràcticament
practically alters
l'ordre
the order
i la velocitat
and the speed
de les borrasques
of the storms
i pràcticament els anticiclons.
and practically the anticyclones.
És una peculiaritat que té el Mediterrani.
It is a peculiarity of the Mediterranean.
Jo crec que, precisament,
I believe that, precisely,
l'ordre geogènic en Espanya
the geogenic order in Spain
és en tota la franja mediterrània.
It is throughout the Mediterranean region.
Catalunya, Comunitat Valenciana,
Catalonia, Valencia Community,
Baixem, la zona d'Andalusia...
Let's go down, the area of Andalusia...
En canvi, com més a l'interior
On the other hand, the further in you go.
de potser la península
of perhaps the peninsula
realment no és tan important
it's really not that important
o no es mostra tant d'interès
or there is not so much interest shown
per aquest tema. És molt curiós.
for this topic. It is very interesting.
Bé, hem parlat que
Well, we have talked about that
fa uns anys vas adquirir
a few years ago you acquired
la teua pròpia estació semiprofessional
your own semiprofessional station
de meteorologia
of meteorology
i ens agradaria saber
and we would like to know
quin és un poc l'aspecte
what is a little the appearance
tècnic. En quines dades
technical. In what data
el bases? Com funciona
The bases? How does it work?
realment
really
esta predicció o
this prediction or
esta forma de preveure
this way of foreseeing
el temps?
the weather?
Realment tu participes d'unes dades
You really participate in some data.
actuals que et dona la teua estació.
current ones that your station gives you.
Més o menys
More or less
no són molt complicades.
they are not very complicated.
Imagina que tu no tens una estació però
Imagine that you do not have a station but
tot el món té un termòmetre
Everyone has a thermometer.
a la porta de la finestra o al balcó.
at the door of the window or on the balcony.
Però en definitiva
But ultimately
una estació meteorològica en aquest cas
a weather station in this case
semiprofessional, que actualment
semiprofessional, which currently
ja les pots trobar per poc més de 200 euros
You can find them for just over 200 euros.
a baix amunt, ha sigut un mercat
up and down, it has been a market
que també he de dir que afortunadament
that I also have to say that fortunately
com s'ha
how it has
abaratat a poc a poc la tecnologia
cheapening technology little by little
en els últims 7,
in the last 7,
8 o 9 anys
8 or 9 years
adquirir una estació semiprofessional
acquire a semiprofessional station
no dic professional perquè professional
I don't say professional because professional.
entenc que ja és per organismes
I understand that it is already for organisms.
estatals on
state-owned
es requereix un cert grau de precisió.
A certain degree of precision is required.
Però
But
adquirir una estació semiprofessional avui en dia
acquire a semiprofessional station nowadays
és econòmic perquè els materials s'han
it's economical because the materials have been
abaratat, les marques han
lowered prices, the brands have
projectat estacions meteorològiques
projected weather stations
com si fos qualsevol altre producte
as if it were any other product
a major escala i
on a larger scale and
s'aconsegueixen millors preus de venda.
better selling prices are achieved.
Al principi recordo que em va costar
At first, I remember that it was hard for me.
entre 500 i 600 euros
between 500 and 600 euros
ja no recorde bé
I no longer remember well.
i cap al final
and towards the end
del 2007 vaig adquirir una altra
I acquired another one in 2007.
estació de major qualitat en aquest cas
higher quality station in this case
però en canvi per menor preu.
but instead for a lower price.
És un mercat que també ha anat variant
It is a market that has also been changing.
però ha ajudat molt
but it has helped a lot
a la difusió i
to the dissemination and
que la gent tinga en sa casa
that people have in their home
una estació meteorològica,
a weather station,
una pròpia i això de
a own and this of
tindre dades de ta casa sempre és
having data from your home is always
una cosa que fa boig
one thing that drives you crazy
que puguis compartir-les o difondre-les
that you can share or spread them
i si les vas anotant evidentment
And if you write them down, obviously.
pots crear la teva pròpia base climàtica.
you can create your own climate base.
Sempre és molt interessant
It's always very interesting.
això de quan vam anar al col·legi
this is from when we went to school
i en l'apartat de Climatologia i Geografia
and in the section of Climatology and Geography
ens ensenyaven com funcionava
they taught us how it worked
un climograma, com funcionava un mapa
a climogram, how a map worked
de borrasques però en definitiva
of storms but ultimately
realment tu pots crear-ho.
you can really create it.
I jo crec que és una cosa prou curiosa.
And I think it's quite an interesting thing.
Una estació meteorològica bàsica
A basic weather station
per a que s'entenguem
so that we understand each other
el que dóna són dades de pluja,
what it gives are rainfall data,
dades de vent, tant direcció
wind data, both direction
com velocitat, temperatura,
such as speed, temperature,
humitat relativa
relative humidity
i pressió atmosfèrica.
and atmospheric pressure.
No en dicia res més.
He didn't say anything else.
Després sí que n'hi ha accessoris que pots unir
Afterward, there are indeed accessories that you can attach.
a les estacions normalment
at the stations normally
i hi pots afegir un sensor de ratlles ultraviolets
and you can add an ultraviolet strip sensor.
i un sensor de redacció solar
and a solar writing sensor
que t'informa un poc de la quantitat
that informs you a little about the quantity
d'energia que està transmetent el Sol.
of energy that is being transmitted by the Sun.
I bé, ja n'hi hauria
And well, that would be enough.
més variables però ja a nivell
more variables but already at level
de contaminació
of contamination
detectem l'aire
we detect the air
i altres històries. Però bé,
and other stories. But well,
ja no entrem, ja no és meteorologia
we're not getting in anymore, it's no longer meteorology
en si.
In itself.
I a partir d'aquestes dades
And based on this data
ens has explicat que es pot fer una predicció
you have told us that a prediction can be made
pràcticament exacta
practically identical
o
or
molt poc de variable en els pròxims
very little variable in the next ones
quatre o cinc dies.
four or five days.
En els recursos
In the resources
que tenim avui en dia,
what we have today,
realment una previsió vàlida per al Mediterrani
really a valid forecast for the Mediterranean
no tindria major
it wouldn't have a bigger one
validesa en més de quatre o cinc dies.
validity in more than four or five days.
N'hi ha tendències. Les tendències
There are trends. The trends.
tu les pots seguir. Una tendència seria
you can follow them. One trend would be
veure uns quants mapes
see a few maps
de cara a partir d'una
facing from one
sis, quatre, cinc
six, four, five
dies. A partir de cinc dies,
days. Starting from five days,
tot el que tu veus són tendències.
All that you see are trends.
Una tendència significaria
A trend would mean
saber si pràcticament una
to know if practically one
borrasca pot baixar a la teua latitud,
a storm may descend to your latitude,
però tu no saps si la borrasca definitivament
but you don’t know if the storm is definitive
estarà al centre de la borrasca.
it will be at the center of the storm.
Depèn d'on estiguis, si estàs
It depends on where you are, if you are.
200 o 300 quilòmetres més a l'interior
200 or 300 kilometers further inland.
o més dins de la mar, realment
or deeper within the sea, really
la situació i l'impacte
the situation and the impact
entre cometes del
in quotes of
major nombre de precipitacions
greater amount of precipitation
no saps on va a caure.
you don't know where it will fall.
Plourà? No ho saps.
Will it rain? You don’t know.
El que sí que saps,
What you do know,
és que n'hi ha risc de pluja.
There is a risk of rain.
És una tendència. És una dada molt
It is a trend. It is a very significant figure.
pobra, realment, però és que avui en dia
poor, really, but nowadays
no n'hi ha més mitjans per aconseguir
there are no more means to achieve
realment
really
un pronòstic
a forecast
molt clar.
very clear.
Això és un poc la idea. El que passa és que tu
This is a bit the idea. What happens is that you...
partixes de les teues dades a nivell d'estació,
you share your data at the station level,
inclús les pròpies estacions meteorològiques
including the weather stations themselves
i professionals que aniran a la venda
the professionals who will be for sale
et fan, en funció de la tendència
they make you, depending on the trend
de la pressió atmosfèrica,
of atmospheric pressure,
una xacoteta previsió.
a slight forecast.
Perquè, per a que
Because, for what purpose
la gent ho sàpiga un poc,
let people know a little,
és molt simplista el que vaig a dir, però
it's very simplistic what I am about to say, but
en definitiva sí que funciona. És a dir,
In short, it does work. That is to say,
quan la pressió atmosfèrica
when the atmospheric pressure
de sobte comença a baixar, a baixar, a baixar,
suddenly it starts to go down, down, down,
és perquè s'està acostant, evidentment,
It's because it is getting closer, obviously.
una borrasca. Aquesta borrasca el que donarà
a storm. This storm will bring
serà un temps enroïnt,
it will be a roaring time,
on farà més vent, on
where it will be windier, where
donarà pluges, etcètera.
it will bring rain, etcetera.
En canvi, si la pressió atmosfèrica està pujant,
On the other hand, if the atmospheric pressure is rising,
s'acostem a un anticiclo
we are approaching an anticyclone
i l'anticiclo es portarà a bon horatge.
And the anticyclone will bring good weather.
Horatge més estable. Bé, cap.
More stable weather. Well, none.
Campeant un poquet del tema,
Just touching on the subject,
ens has parlat dels aspectes tècnics,
you have talked to us about the technical aspects,
com fas tu,
how do you do it,
com es fa actualment
how it is done currently
aquesta predicció,
this prediction,
un poc a nivell tècnic,
a little bit on a technical level,
però què penses de
but what do you think of
lo que són les cabanyoles
what the cabins are
i tota la part, diguem, antiga
and the whole part, let's say, old
d'aquesta predicció, de l'observació,
of this prediction, of the observation,
en aquest cas?
in this case?
Bé, és un tema
Well, it's a topic.
que reconec que és molt curiós.
I admit that it is very curious.
El que passa és que, clar,
What happens is that, of course,
abans, quan pràcticament no existia
before, when it practically didn't exist
tecnologia en este camp,
technology in this field,
la gent feia unes prediccions
people were making predictions
simplement perquè
simply because
estava en l'horta i
I was in the garden and
estava patint pels seus cultius
he was suffering for his crops
i, en definitiva, lo que feia era mirar el cel.
And, ultimately, what I was doing was looking at the sky.
En funció de com
Depending on how
cantaven, inclús, o com es
they sang, even, or how it is
menjaven totes les aus,
they ate all the birds,
tu podies fer-te una idea de
you could get an idea of
si demà plorar o no.
if tomorrow I will cry or not.
Era un poc...
It was a bit...
Realment era una norma no escrita,
It really was an unwritten rule,
no tenies cap
you didn't have any
certesa
certainty
científica a l'hora de fer
scientific when doing
aquest tipus de prediccions, però és l'observació
this type of predictions, but it is the observation
i l'experiència
and the experience
i el contrast
and the contrast
d'una situació, no?,
from a situation, right?
de prova i error,
of trial and error,
de contemplar
of contemplating
un tipus d'oratge
a type of weather
i saber un poc el que farà demà.
And to know a little of what he will do tomorrow.
Les cabanyoles
The cabins
és extrapolable a tot això,
it is extrapolable to all this,
però, evidentment, a molt, molt, molt
but, obviously, a lot, a lot, a lot
llarg plaç. Estem parlant de que
long term. We are talking about that
durant el mes d'agost
during the month of August
fas unes mesures,
you take some measurements,
observes l'oratge
observe the weather
que farà, que està fent
what will he/she do, what is he/she doing
aquests dies d'agost, i, en definitiva, estàs
these days of August, and, ultimately, you are
prenent tot l'oratge de l'any que ve.
taking all the weather of next year.
És arriscat, però, per lo menos,
It's risky, but at least,
a mi em pareix que és una cosa molt loable,
it seems to me that it is a very commendable thing,
molt curiosa,
very curious,
i, bueno, les comprovacions
and, well, the verifications
de fiabilitat,
of reliability,
bueno, cada un
well, each one
les mira com les mira. A mi, per lo menos,
she looks at them as she looks at them. At least for me,
m'agrada més la part més
I like the best part more.
activa de la metodologia, no?, la que és
active methodology, right?, the one that is
més real, la que
more real, the one that
pots contrastar i la que pots
you can contrast and the one you can
apuntar, no sé.
To point, I don’t know.
Tornant a la Baida
Returning to the Baida
al Baida, es donen condicions
In the Baida, conditions are given.
diferents a altres regions
different from other regions
que poden comportar una
that can lead to a
metodologia diferent?
different methodology?
Jo crec que, més que diferent,
I believe that, more than different,
la metodologia,
the methodology,
el mar Mediterrani
the Mediterranean Sea
i l'aerografia
and the airbrushing
són les
it's
coses que, si les juntes,
things that, if you put them together,
poden fer meravelles, entre cometes.
they can do wonders, in quotes.
L'aerografia és molt important.
Airbrushing is very important.
A la Baida al Baida,
To the Baida at the Baida,
realment, estem separats
really, we are separated
de la comarca, per exemple, del
from the region, for example, of the
Comtat, amb la gran
County, with the great
serralada del Benicadell, no?
Benicadell mountain range, right?
El Benicadell arriba als
The Benicadell reaches the
1.104 metres d'altura
1,104 meters in height
i te dones compte
And you realize.
que és una pròpia barrera. De fet,
that is a barrier of its own. In fact,
el més conegut,
the most well-known,
una cosa molt bàsica en metodologia és
a very basic thing in methodology is
conèixer l'efecte Fohen. L'efecte Fohen
to know the Fohen effect. The Fohen effect
és, bàsicament, quan un front està
it is, basically, when a front is
avançant i es topa amb una serralada
advancing and comes across a mountain range
o una cordillera, com podrien ser els Pirineus,
or a mountain range, such as the Pyrenees,
tu saps que
you know that
si la borrasca en si, o el front,
if the storm itself, or the front,
va avançant del nord cap a sud,
is advancing from north to south,
la franja nord
the northern strip
evidentment tindrà
obviously will have
moltes precipitacions, tindrà moltes
many precipitations, it will have many
nubolades i
cloudy and
pot ser un temps
it can be a time
prou perillós,
too dangerous,
però què passa? Que la franja sud,
but what happens? That the southern strip,
el front ja ha passat,
the front has already passed,
està sec i a mesura
it is dry and to measure
que ja baixa de nou d'altitud
that is descending again in altitude
l'aire
the air
comença a calfar-se. El que era
it starts to heat up. What was
gelat s'ha quedat tot a la part
The ice cream has melted completely.
nord de la serralada, en canvi la part sud
north of the mountain range, on the other hand the south part
ja comença a ser més càlid,
it is already starting to be warmer,
sec i evidentment l'oratge és molt
dry and obviously the weather is very
més tranquil. L'efecte Fohen
more peaceful. The Fohen effect
el podem traslladar, entre cometes,
we can transfer it, in quotes,
a una xocoteta escala, i aquesta xocoteta escala
to a little scale, and this little scale
podrien ser les nostres serres
they could be our mountains
que nosaltres col·loquem, podrien ser
that we place, could be
el Benicadell, la Serra de Mariola,
the Benicadell, the Serra de Mariola,
la Serra de la Grossa en part,
the Serra de la Grossa in part,
el massís del Mont d'Uber,
the Mont d'Uber massif,
per aproximació
by approximation
al que és la
to what is the
Vall d'Albaida, ens pot
Vall d'Albaida, it can.
donar unes dades de pluja
give some rainfall data
majors en un punt concret de la Vall d'Albaida
seniors at a specific point in the Vall d'Albaida
o menors. De totes maneres
or minors. In any case
el més
the month
interessant, per exemple,
interesting, for example,
és que l'orografia en si
it's that the orography itself
depèn de com estiguin orientades
it depends on how they are oriented
les muntanyes, depèn
the mountains, it depends
de com vinguin en direcció
of how they came in direction
un front, una tempesta,
a front, a storm,
poden donar
they can give
dades de pluja
rain data
increïbles. Nosaltres
incredible. We
amb l'Associació Valenciana d'Aficionats a la Metrologia
with the Valencian Association of Metrology Enthusiasts
que s'anomena Abamet
that is called Abamet
vam instal·lar
we installed
l'any passat una de les activitats
last year one of the activities
principals que fem
main things we do
a nivell d'associació
at the association level
és instal·lar
it's to install
estacions meteorològiques en llocs
weather stations in places
realment molt interessants a nivell
really very interesting at level
d'interès,
of interest,
d'interès, inclús científic.
of interest, including scientific.
L'any passat vam instal·lar
Last year we installed
una estació meteorològica a la comarca
a weather station in the region
de la Marina Alta, en la
of the Marina Alta, in the
Vall d'Evo, que és un poble que tindrà
Vall d'Evo, which is a village that will have
200 o 300 habitants
200 or 300 inhabitants
i està a l'interior de Pego.
It is in the interior of Pego.
Aquesta estació meteorològica
This weather station
per a que s'entenguem està
so that we understand it is
en una vall molt tancada,
in a very enclosed valley,
molt xocoteta,
very small,
però que realment s'estanquen
but they really stagnate
allà els núvols quan comença a ploure
there the clouds when it starts to rain
i directament es van a replegar
and they went directly to gather.
en 110 més de 500 litres.
in 110 more than 500 liters.
Per a que us fem una idea
Just to give you an idea.
és quasi el 80 o el 90%
It's almost 80 or 90%.
del que sol ploure de mitja on
of what usually rains from half a wave
tinguem en un any,
let's have in a year,
en 5 dies.
in 5 days.
Aleshores, si nosaltres no
So, if we don't
haguéssim instal·lat aquesta estació, aquesta dada
we would have installed this station, this data
seria absolutament desconeguda.
it would be absolutely unknown.
Nosaltres el que fem en l'associació
What we do in the association.
ja seria
it would already be
trobar
to find
llocs molt interessants,
very interesting places,
tant per pluja, tant per temperatures,
as much for rain, as for temperatures,
també inclús
also even
n'hi ha col·lectors
there are collectors
de
of
de boires.
of fog.
N'hi ha col·lectors
There are collectors.
de boires.
of mists.
N'hi ha sensors que tracten
There are sensors that deal with
de comprovar
to verify
quina seria la precipitació equivalent
what would be the equivalent precipitation
en un punt determinat sols
at a specific point only
per la quantitat de boires
for the amount of fogs
que n'hi ha en eixos llocs.
that there is in those places.
Per exemple, la Serra de Mariola
For example, the Serra de Mariola
dalt a 1.250 metres
at 1,250 meters
n'hi ha una estació
there is a station
que ja està morint, per cert,
which is already dying, by the way,
el CEAM, que és el Centre
the CEAM, which is the Centre
del Mediterrani.
from the Mediterranean.
N'hi ha uns col·lectors de boires molt interessants
There are some very interesting fog collectors.
que donen
that they give
precipitacions que no haguéssim imaginat
precipitations that we would not have imagined
sols perquè n'hi ha boires.
only because there are fogs.
La boira evidentment s'empapa en la vegetació
The fog obviously soaks into the vegetation.
i evidentment
and obviously
permet la vida de
allows the life of
flora i fauna.
flora and fauna.
Cada estació té el seu.
Each season has its own.
Bé, ja
Well, already
per intentar acabar,
to try to finish,
quina influència
what influence
té tot això que està
it has all this that is
passant de moda ara,
out of fashion now,
l'efecte hivernacle?
the greenhouse effect?
Quina és la influència dels gasos
What is the influence of gases?
d'aquest efecte
of this effect
en la climatologia?
in climatology?
N'hi ha moltíssima informació
There is a lot of information.
al respecte del canvi climàtic
regarding climate change
i moltíssima. De fet, jo crec que n'hi ha
and a lot. In fact, I think there are
massa informació
too much information
i la majoria de la gent
and most people
acaba fins i tot marejada.
it even ends in a swell.
De fet, n'hi ha documentals com
In fact, there are documentaries like
no sé, este que va fer el de
I don't know, this one who did the...
Al Gore, que no me'n recorde com es diga,
Al Gore, I don't remember how to say it.
però que busquen
but what are they looking for
que aportar
what to contribute
tanta informació al respecte
so much information about it
que potser el ciutadà enmig
that perhaps the citizen in the middle
el tinguem un poc marejat.
we have him a bit dizzy.
N'hi ha calfament a nivell global
There is global warming.
en la Terra? Sí, és evident.
On Earth? Yes, it is obvious.
Això està mesurat, més que
This is measured, more than.
mesurat,
measured,
l'Antàrtida com
Antarctica how
l'Àrtic, cada vegada
the Arctic, increasingly
la quantitat de gel que n'hi ha en superfícies
the amount of ice that is on surfaces
menor, any darrere d'any, estan fent-se
younger, year after year, they are becoming
ja medicions des de fa moltíssims anys,
I have been taking medications for a very long time.
i està clar que n'hi ha menys gel.
And it is clear that there is less ice.
Si n'hi ha menys gel evidentment és per un
If there is less ice, it is obviously because of one.
moment constant, poquet a poquet,
constant moment, little by little,
i potser estan canviant
and maybe they are changing
de cicle.
of cycle.
És degut a l'activitat humana?
Is it due to human activity?
N'hi ha estudis
There are studies.
que diuen que sí, i n'hi ha estudis
they say yes, and there are studies
que diuen que no. Sí que és
they say no. Yes, it is
de veres que la majoria parlen que
truly, the majority say that
evidentment és provocat.
obviously it is provoked.
N'hi ha una correlació a l'hora de
There is a correlation when it comes to
comprovar gasos
check gases
d'efecte hivernacle, com podrien ser
greenhouse effect, such as they could be
els cotxes, les
the cars, the
indústries, el propi vapor
industries, the steam itself
d'aigua, el propi vapor d'aigua és un
water, the very steam of water is a
no és un contaminant, però sí que
it is not a pollutant, but it is
podríem estar parlant que és un efecte principal
we could be talking about it being a main effect
perquè la temperatura mitja
because the average temperature
de l'atmosfera pot anar augmentant.
from the atmosphere may increase.
Aleshores,
Then,
sí que és de veres
yes, it is true
que pot ser provocat tot aquest
that can be caused all this
escalfament climàtic.
climate warming.
Sobreviurem? Suposa que sí.
Will we survive? I suppose so.
Suposa que sí perquè
I suppose so because
al llarg de
along the
10 milions d'anys que té
10 million years old
el nostre planeta, realment
our planet, really
han hagut moltes èpoques
there have been many eras
en les quals el clima ha canviat.
in which the climate has changed.
El clima no és constant
The climate is not constant.
durant tota la vida del
throughout the life of the
planeta. Realment ha anat evolucionant
planet. It has really been evolving.
en funció de
depending on
els cicles, per exemple,
the cycles, for example,
solars. Cada 11 anys
solar. Every 11 years
n'hi ha un cicle solar
there is a solar cycle
on el sol en teoria està més a prop
where the sun is theoretically closer
de la Terra i per exemple
of the Earth and for example
dona hiverns més càlids
gives warmer winters
o hiverns més gel·lids.
or colder winters.
I per altra part
And on the other hand
el tema
the topic
de
of
mesurar l'impacte sobre
measure the impact on
la població.
the population.
Bé, evidentment
Well, obviously.
els efectes més problemàtics
the most problematic effects
a curt o mig plaç podrien ser
in the short or medium term they could be
l'augment dels oceans,
the rise of the oceans,
que és una cosa prou inevitable, evidentment,
that is quite an inevitable thing, evidently,
perquè està desfent-se tot el gel
because all the ice is melting
dels pols. Però
of the dust. But
no podem fer molta
we can't do much
més cosa que conscienciar la gent,
more than just raising awareness among people,
sobretot els governants. Jo crec que és la població
especially the rulers. I believe it is the population.
la que ja ha de començar a
the one that must already begin to
conscienciar els governants perquè
make the rulers aware so that
les coses vagin canviant i que la economia
things may change and that the economy
no sigui l'únic motor
don't be the only engine
que meneja la societat actual.
that moves today's society.
La veritat és que
The truth is that
és un tema allà
it's a topic there
on entra l'ètica,
where ethics come in,
on entra el poder, l'economia,
where power enters, the economy,
la societat,
the society,
el desenvolupament de les
the development of the
societats en definitiva, no ho sé.
societies in short, I don't know.
És complicat. El que sí que està clar
It's complicated. What is clear, however.
és que n'hi ha un calçament,
it's just that there's a footwear,
és innegable, perquè
it is undeniable, because
de fet hi ha 20 teories que volem desmentir
In fact, there are 20 theories that we want to debunk.
al principi i tot això,
at the beginning and all that,
però nosaltres com a ciutadans
but we as citizens
l'únic que podem fer és
the only thing we can do is
estar conscienciats, començar
to be aware, to start
a no consumir per consumir
to not consume in order to consume
i així de dir que, entre cometes,
and so to say, in quotes,
la crisi econòmica actual que estem
the current economic crisis we are in
patint a Espanya realment inclús està
suffering in Spain really even is
canviant el xip de moltes persones
changing the mindset of many people
a l'hora de com n'hi ha que consumir,
at the time of how many there are to consume,
a l'hora de com n'hi ha que
at the time of what there is that
gastar i
spend and
jo crec que va per
I think it goes for
fases. Estem en la fase ara de
phases. We are in the phase now of
que jo crec que n'hi ha moltíssima
that I believe there are a lot of them
més conscienciació, per exemple, els deberes que cada vegada
more awareness, for example, the duties that each time
reciclen més, més i millor.
recycle more, more and better.
Hi haurà interessos darrere
There will be interests behind.
d'aquestes empreses que reciclen? Sí,
Of these companies that recycle? Yes,
recicles hi haurà, perquè la gent necessita
There will be recycling, because people need it.
diners per a manejar-se, per a
money to manage, to
viure, perquè viuen en una societat capitalista,
live, because they live in a capitalist society,
però
but
però han de manejar-se en aquest sentit.
but they have to be managed in this direction.
Han de fer a poc a poc
They have to take it slowly.
coses que
things that
pensen que la Terra
they think that the Earth
no és infinita, la Terra és finita,
the Earth is finite,
és a dir, no...
that is to say, no...
tots els recursos que té la Terra
all the resources that the Earth has
s'esgoten, s'esgoten, i n'hi ha que trobar
they run out, they run out, and there are some to be found
fórmules per a reutilitzar-los
formulas to reuse them
i, evidentment,
and, obviously,
no maltractar o
do not mistreat or
desbaratar tots els recursos.
sabotage all resources.
Molt bé, Jesús.
Very good, Jesús.
Si ens acaba el temps,
If we run out of time,
una última pregunta.
One last question.
Com tindrem el temps
How will we have the weather?
per a les vacances de Pasqua?
for the Easter holidays?
Ui, bueno,
Oh, well,
anem a veure. La Pasqua sempre és la part
let's see. Easter is always the part
més perillosa de la meteorologia. La Pasqua
more dangerous than the weather. Easter
és un temps primaveral, això primer.
It is a springtime, this first.
La primavera, està clar que
Spring, it is clear that
és l'època de l'any
it's the time of year
més complicada per a predir,
more complicated to predict,
perquè, realment, anem molts passos
because, really, we are taking many steps
de borrasques per les nostres
from storms for our
latituds, cosa que, per exemple, no passa
latitudes, something that, for example, does not happen
en estiu, cosa que no passa
in summer, something that does not happen
tant en la tardor,
both in the autumn,
però, clar, en primavera
but, of course, in spring
l'horatge és molt republicat. Avui estem
The weather is very nice. Today we are
a dilluns
on Monday
i estem parlant de que
and we are talking about what
podríem donar una predicció d'així
we could make a prediction like this
una setmana i mitja. Queda
a week and a half. Remains.
molt de temps, no
long time, no
vaig a mullar-me, ho sent, ho sent.
I'm going to get wet, I'm sorry, I'm sorry.
No vaig a mullar-me. Però, bueno,
I'm not going to get involved. But, well,
estem veient-ho, estem
we are seeing it, we are
en falles i
in Fallas and
hem passat per dies de
we have gone through days of
molta, bueno, de
a lot, well, of
pluja per l'interior. Hem
rain for the interior. We have
estat parlant de molt de vent,
was talking about a lot of wind,
que ha tombat un munt de falles per allà
that has knocked down a lot of fireworks over there
i, realment, doncs, hem d'anar
Yes, really, then we have to go.
veient l'horatge
seeing the clock
cada tres o quatre dies. Agafem el
every three or four days. We take the
paraigües i el banyador, per si acaso. Sí,
umbrella and swimsuit, just in case. Yes,
n'he agafat un poc de tot. Jo crec
I've taken a bit of everything. I think.
que la Pasqua és el tema
that Easter is the theme
sempre de l'any, no? És a dir,
always of the year, right? I mean,
quin horatge fan en Pasqua? En estiu
What time do they have in Easter? In summer?
la gent no s'ho pregunta tant, perquè
people don’t ask themselves that much, because
ja comença a entendre que
he is starting to understand that
en l'estiu l'horatge, entre cometes, sempre és el bo.
In summer, the weather, in quotes, is always good.
Però, clar, en la Pasqua, la
But, of course, at Easter, the
Pasqua és molt variable, és molt, molt, molt variable.
Easter is very variable, it is very, very, very variable.
I, de fet, inclús l'Agència Estatal
I, in fact, even the State Agency
de Metrologia arriba
from Metrology arrives
a publicar informes més detallats
to publish more detailed reports
perquè,
because,
realment, la població sol·licita
really, the population requests
un major pronòstic
a greater forecast
o hi haja major
or there may be greater
probabilitat d'un major detall. Però,
probability of a greater detail. But,
fins i tot, per a les pròpies agències de metro,
even for the metro agencies themselves,
és molt complicat predir l'horatge.
It is very complicated to predict the weather.
És molt complicat en Pasqua. I, ja t'ho dic,
It's very complicated at Easter. And, I'll tell you,
estem en el Mediterrani i, encara que això
we are in the Mediterranean and, although this
no ho sàpiga molta gent, és una
not many people know it, it is a
de les zones més complicades per a predir
one of the most complicated areas to predict
l'horatge del món.
the clock of the world.
Doncs, molt bé, Jesús, moltes gràcies
Well, very good, Jesus, thank you very much.
per haver acudit al nostre programa. A vosaltres.
for attending our program. To you all.
I crec que ens ho ha deixat
I think he has left it to us.
tot ben clar.
all clear.
Gràcies. Vinga, adeu.
Thank you. Come on, goodbye.
Per a la segon part del programa,
For the second part of the program,
contem amb Pablo Guerra,
we have Pablo Guerra,
professor del Col·legi de la Concepció
teacher of the Conception College
de Ciudad de Anteñant i observador
of Anteñant City and observer
d'EMET. Bon dia, Pablo. Bon dia.
from EMET. Good morning, Pablo. Good morning.
Bueno, Pablo,
Well, Pablo,
nos gustaría que nos
we would like you to
explicaras un poco... Jesús nos ha estado
you will explain a little... Jesus has been with us
explicando la parte
explaining the part
más técnica
more technical
de su afición, que es la
of his hobby, which is the
climatología. Nos gustaría que
climatology. We would like you to
volviéramos un poco al pasado,
let's go back a little to the past,
que nos explicara un poco la forma
that will explain to us a little about the way
de las cabañuelas. ¿Cómo se hace
of the cabañuelas. How is it done?
esta predicción y quién
this prediction and who
la puede hacer o cómo la puede hacer?
Can she do it or how can she do it?
Bueno, el
Well, he
mundo de las cabañuelas
world of the cabañuelas
es un mundo complejo.
It is a complex world.
Complejo y hay que tener una
Complex and you have to have a.
mínima
minimum
formación y también
training and also
lo avala
it supports it
el tiempo
the weather
para ejecutarlas. Un cabañolista
to carry them out. A cabanilist
es una persona en formación
she is a person in training.
continua y a
continue and to
los resultados empiezan a ser
the results are starting to be
espectaculares a medida que transcurre
spectacular as it progresses
el tiempo.
the weather.
Hay que distinguir
It is necessary to distinguish.
las predicciones del tiempo
the weather forecasts
por el método de cabañuelas y otra
by the method of cabañuelas and another
es, es una afición
Yes, it is a hobby.
particular mía, y otra
my particular one, and another
es mi dedicación
it is my dedication
científica al
scientist at
mundo real de la meteorología,
real world of meteorology,
que por eso soy observador
that's why I am observant
de EMET. Pero bien,
of EMET. But well,
dado que
given that
el anterior Jesús,
the former Jesus,
ha manifestado ya
has already manifested
la parte técnica de, como bien has dicho,
the technical part of, as you rightly said,
de cabañuelas, digo de
of the cabañuelas, I mean of
meteorología real, pues yo voy a dedicarme
real meteorology, because I am going to dedicate myself
a las cabañuelas. Cabañuelas
to the cabañuelas. Cabañuelas
es un diminutivo que viene
it is a diminutive that comes
de cabaña.
of cabin.
Y es el hábitat natural
And it is the natural habitat.
que utilizaban los judíos
that the Jews used
cuando iban en busca de la tierra
when they went in search of the land
prometida. Debido a su
promised. Due to your
necesidad y su dedicación al
need and his dedication to the
pastoreo, pues
grazing, then
se dedicaron
they dedicated
a predecir el tiempo,
to predict the weather,
con antelación, porque era
in advance, because it was
fundamental para el mundo del
fundamental for the world of
pastoreo y para sus
herding and for your
traslados que hacían.
transfers that they made.
De ahí salió cabaña, cabañuelas,
From there came cabin, cabin weather,
cabaña. Aquí a la Baida
cabin. Here in Baida
del Baida, pues se llaman caniculars.
from the Baida, as they are called caniculars.
Y cada uno, pues tenemos un
And each one, well we have a
procedimiento. Yo, como estoy
procedure. I, as I am
integrado en la asociación,
integrated into the association,
soy secretario de la asociación
I am the secretary of the association.
de cabañuelas de España,
of Spanish cabañuelas,
tenemos un protocolo para
we have a protocol for
realizarlas y un método
carry them out and a method
real. Aquí,
real. Here,
cada uno, pues las
each one, since the
interpreta. Y hay diferentes tipos de
interpret. And there are different types of
cabañuelas. Las cabañuelas
Cabañuelas. The cabañuelas.
de Santa Lucía. Luego
of Saint Lucia. Then
están también las témporas. Cada
There are also the fasts. Each
uno tiene un procedimiento.
one has a procedure.
Nosotros creemos que
We believe that
observar el tiempo
observe the weather
entre el 1 y el
between 1 and the
25 de agosto de cada año
August 25 of each year
son lo que se llaman las cabañuelas
they are what are called the cabañuelas
que realizamos nuestra
that we carry out our
asociación y las que
association and those
consideramos que son más fiables.
we consider they are more reliable.
Bien.
Okay.
Las cabañuelas se hacen en dos fases.
The cabañuelas are made in two phases.
Que son las cabañuelas maestras
What are the master cabanuelas?
y las cabañuelas retorneras.
and the returnable cabanuelas.
Las cabañuelas maestras
The master cabanuelas
se realizan entre
they are carried out between
el 1 y el 13
the 1 and the 13
de agosto.
of August.
Y entre el 14
And between the 14
y el 25 son las
and the 25 is at
retorneras. La palabra lo dice
You will return. The word says it.
perfectamente. Maestras
perfectly. Teachers
son fundamentales.
they are fundamental.
Y las
And the
retorneras son un complemento
returns are a complement
para verificar que
to verify that
estamos haciendo bien o mal
Are we doing right or wrong?
las cosas.
the things.
Se empieza el 1
It starts on the 1st.
de agosto
of August
pero no siempre se empieza
but it doesn't always start
a la misma hora. Es decir,
at the same time. That is to say,
nosotros funcionamos a
we operate at
hora solar. Pero
solar time. But
a hora solar y
at solar time and
relacionado con la orientación
related to orientation
del sol
of the sun
con Sirio,
with Sirio,
la estrella principal
the main star
de la constelación de Camp Mayor.
of the constellation of Camp Major.
Bien.
Good.
Cuando empezamos el 1 de agosto
When do we start on August 1st?
nosotros siempre retrasamos
we always delay
la hora del reloj
the hour of the clock
real a la
real to the
solar que corresponde
solar that corresponds
a ese
to that
alineamiento astrológico.
astrological alignment.
Y a partir de ahí interpretamos
And from there we interpret.
unas veces acabamos el día 26
Sometimes we finish the day on the 26th.
y otras empezamos
and others we start
como este año pasado que empezamos
like last year that we started
a las 3 de la tarde
at 3 in the afternoon
del reloj. 15 horas de reloj
from the clock. 15 hours on the clock
que eran la una solar.
it was one o'clock solar.
Bien. Esto no lo
Well. This not it
importa mucho.
it matters a lot.
Y entonces aquí cada dos horas
And then here every two hours.
hacemos la predicción, el día 1
we make the prediction, on the 1st
hacemos la predicción cada dos horas
We make the prediction every two hours.
general de lo que va a hacer
general of what he is going to do
en el mes
in the month
siguiente de cada año. Por ejemplo,
next of each year. For example,
si empezáramos
if we started
vamos a poner el caso
let's put the case
hipotético de que empezáramos
hypothetical that we would start
un día a las
one day at the
2 de la mañana
2 in the morning
o sea ya del día 1
I mean already from day 1.
y entonces retrasaríamos
and then we would delay
el reloj a las
the clock at
0 horas. Cuando son las 2
0 hours. When it is 2.
las 0 horas. Bien.
midnight. Good.
Pues en ese caso las dos
Well, in that case, both.
primeras horas correspondería
first hours would correspond
al mes enero
in the month of January
las dos siguientes al
the next two to
mes febrero y así
more February and so on
sucesivamente cuando transcurren
successively when they pass
las 24 horas del día 1
the 24 hours of day 1
abarcamos los 12 meses del año
we cover the 12 months of the year
correspondiente. Eso nos marca una
corresponding. That sets us a
característica general.
general characteristic.
Luego el día 2
Then on the 2nd
ya se corresponde íntegramente
it already fully corresponds
al mes de enero.
in the month of January.
El día 3 al mes de febrero
The 3rd of February.
el día 4 al mes
the 4th of the month
de marzo y así sucesivamente
of March and so on
hasta llegar el día 13 que es el mes
until reaching the 13th, which is the month
de diciembre.
of December.
Eso son las cabañolas maestras.
Those are the master huts.
Posteriormente
Subsequently
empezamos el día 14
we start on the 14th
y retorniras quiere decir que vamos al revés
"And to return means that we go backward."
el día 14 vuelve a ser diciembre
On the 14th, it will be December again.
el día 15
the 15th day
es noviembre y así
It's November and so on.
sucesivamente hasta que llegamos al
successively until we reach the
día 25 que es otra vez
day 25 which is again
enero.
January.
Bien, así como
Well, just like that.
en el día 1
on day 1
observamos el tiempo cada media hora
we observe the weather every half hour
los demás días
the other days
se observan cada 15 minutos
They are observed every 15 minutes.
y cada
and each
15 minutos observamos
We observe for 15 minutes.
el viento
the wind
fundamental
fundamental
las nubes
the clouds
que aparecen no es lo mismo que aparezca
that appear is not the same as appearing
una nube media alta
a mid-high cloud
o baja porque nos marca
or lower because it marks us
el índice de humedad. Sabemos que las
the humidity index. We know that the
nubes altas, los cirros o cirros
high clouds, the cirrus or cirros
tienen un 10%
they have a 10%
de humedad. Prácticamente esto
of humidity. Practically this
no nos va a indicar nada
he is not going to indicate anything to us.
no nos va a indicar lluvia.
It is not going to indicate rain.
Observamos también
We also observe.
otros meteoros como la temperatura
other meteors like temperature
no es lo mismo la temperatura que nos
it's not the same the temperature that we
haga en el mes, ya sabemos que en el mes de
do it in the month, we already know that in the month of
agosto es muy difícil que
August is very difficult that
las temperaturas estén a 0 grados
the temperatures are at 0 degrees
pero claro una temperatura
but of course a temperature
de 6 o 7 grados ya nos
of 6 or 7 degrees already us
indica que va a ser fresquito
it indicates that it is going to be cool
y depende el mes que estemos
and depending on the month we are in
observando. Básicamente
observing. Basically
en estos tres meteoros hay más
In these three meteors, there is more.
pero básicamente se cuidan
but basically they take care of themselves
estos tres.
these three.
Y luego en ese
And then in that
momento no interpretamos nada
At the moment, we don't interpret anything.
solo observamos y nos vamos
we just observe and leave
apuntando todos los datos de lo que
pointing out all the data of what
observamos, como ya he
we observe, as I have already
dicho, viento,
said, wind
humedad, temperatura
humidity, temperature
nubes y pues
clouds and well
lo vamos acumulando estos datos.
We are accumulating this data.
Vamos
Let's go.
pasando, ya sabemos que el día
passing, we already know that the day
1 hemos quedado enero, el día 2 febrero,
1 we have agreed on January, February 2nd,
lo vamos acumulando hasta el día 13
we'll accumulate it until the 13th
y cuando ya lo observamos los 25
and when we already observed it, the 25
días es cuando hacemos la interpretación.
Days are when we do the interpretation.
Téngase
Have it.
en cuenta que para hacer las
consider that in order to make the
cabañolas hay que situarse
cabañolas must be situated
en la parte más alta de la población
in the highest part of the population
donde se efectúan.
where they are carried out.
¿Por qué? Porque
Why? Because
hemos de procurar
we have to try
que como se observan
that as observed
las 24 horas del día
24 hours a day
hay que
we must
evitar las luces
avoid the lights
de los coches, de las
of the cars, of the
poblaciones que no nos dejan
populations that do not let us
ver el cielo estrellado
to see the starry sky
o el cielo, por ejemplo, en una
or the sky, for example, in a
parte alta, a veces hay niebla,
upper part, sometimes there is fog,
pero cuando estás en la parte alta del todo
but when you are at the very top
se te deja ver perfectamente.
It can be seen perfectly.
Esto, hay que situarse, como he
This, you have to position yourself, as I have
dicho, en las partes altas
said, in the high parts
de la población
of the population
y observar las 24
and observe the 24
horas. Nosotros tenemos la ventaja
hours. We have the advantage
de que yo, hay unos guardas
That I, there are some guards.
forestales en el Al de la Creu
forests in the Al de la Creu
que se dedican
that they dedicate themselves
son empleados
they are employees
de la Generalitat Valenciana
from the Valencian Government
pero al mismo tiempo
but at the same time
colaboran contigo
they collaborate with you
para la toma de datos.
for data collection.
Si no sería un trabajo imposible
Otherwise it would be an impossible job.
de realizar.
to carry out.
Bueno,
Well,
básicamente es esto,
basically it is this,
la parte de cabañolas.
the part of cabañolas.
Y luego ya se interpretarían
And then they would be interpreted.
los datos.
the data.
¿Cómo se realiza esta interpretación?
How is this interpretation carried out?
¿Cuál es el método que seguís una vez
What is the method you follow once?
tenéis recogidos todos los datos?
Do you have all the data collected?
Para poder decir
In order to say
o prever qué es lo que
or foresee what it is that
posiblemente va a pasar.
it is likely to happen.
Bien. Una vez que tenemos
Well. Once we have
recopilados los datos,
gathered the data,
nosotros dividimos
we divide
consideramos todos los meses
we consider every month
a 30 días. Independientemente
in 30 days. Regardless
de que febrero tenga 28
that February has 28
consideramos. Entonces
we consider. Then
lo que hacemos es dividir
what we do is divide
los días
the days
30 días entre
30 days between
24 horas que observamos
24 hours that we observe
para que sale un número, un coeficiente
for what a number, a coefficient comes out
1.25, por ejemplo.
1.25, for example.
Entonces quieres decir
So you mean
que cuando observamos
that when we observe
el tiempo lo multiplicamos
we multiply time
por 1.25 y sabe
for 1.25 and knows
y nos marca el día. El día 1
and it marks the day. The day 1
a las 2 de la mañana, por ejemplo,
at 2 in the morning, for example,
observamos un fenómeno que está cubierto.
we observe a phenomenon that is covered.
Nosotros estamos observando
We are watching.
que el cielo está cubierto,
that the sky is overcast,
que la temperatura es baja. Estamos en el mes
that the temperature is low. We are in the month
de enero, primeramente. Y estamos
from January, firstly. And we are
viendo que aparecen nubos
seeing that clouds are appearing
por el norte.
to the north.
Que la temperatura en ese momento es baja.
That the temperature at that moment is low.
Y que
And that.
estas nubes son
these clouds are
tipo oscuras.
dark types.
Prácticamente, nosotros
Practically, we
interpretaríamos ahí que vamos a
we would interpret there that we are going to
considerar que eso ocurre el día 1
consider that this happens on the 1st
y que continúa eso a través de
and that continues through
como observamos cada 15 minutos
as we observe every 15 minutes
se mantiene durante 2 o 3 días.
it lasts for 2 or 3 days.
Al ir multiplicando
As it is multiplying
por 1.25, pues diríamos
for 1.25, we would say
el día 1
the day 1
debido a
due to
como viene el viento del norte,
as the north wind blows,
temperatura baja
low temperature
y nubosidad abundante
and abundant cloudiness
y tipo negro, es muy probable
and black type, it is very likely
que del 1 al 4 que duraría
that from 1 to 4 would last
ese fenómeno sería
that phenomenon would be
hay muchas posibilidades de que nevará.
There is a high likelihood that it will snow.
Que se interpretaría
What would be interpreted
como nieve.
like snow.
Si
Yes
vemos que el viento es
we see that the wind is
de levante
from the east
estamos en los meses de enero, febrero
we are in the months of January, February
o marzo
or March
y baja la temperatura
and lowers the temperature
va bajando, que no va subiendo
it's going down, not up
interpretaremos como
we will interpret as
viene un temporal de levante.
A storm from the east is coming.
Si llueve, cuando estamos
If it rains, when we are
observando la cabañola, la cabañola
observing the small cabin, the small cabin
se descarga y una creencia
it downloads and a belief
popular que tiene la gente, sabemos que no va
popular that people have, we know it doesn't go.
a llover.
it's raining.
Ese mes, en esas horas,
That month, at those hours,
en esos días, seguro que no lloverá
In those days, it surely won't rain.
porque se ha descargado la cabañola.
because the shed has collapsed.
Recuerden
Remember
que las cabañolas
that the huts
tienen una validez
they have a validity
para un microclima.
for a microclimate.
No se pueden aplicar
Cannot be applied.
ni para 200 kilómetros
neither for 200 kilometers
a la redonda, ni mucho menos.
not at all.
Abarcan desde la parte
They cover from the part
más alta de la población
highest in the population
hasta un radio de unos 50
up to a radius of about 50
kilómetros.
kilometers.
Y hay que tener en cuenta los
And it is important to take into account the
conocimientos del clima, un observador
knowledge of the climate, an observer
de cabañolas
of cabañas
tiene que saber
you have to know
en qué poblacional, qué tipo
in what population, what type
de viento le afecta, de levante,
It is affected by the wind, from the east.
del norte, del oeste
from the north, from the west
o del sur.
or from the south.
Eso es un factor que se tiene
That is a factor that is taken into account.
muy en cuenta también.
also very much in mind.
La altitud a que nos situamos, que antes
The altitude at which we find ourselves, which earlier
no lo he nombrado, y también
I haven't mentioned it, and also
los puntos cardinales de donde estamos.
the cardinal points of where we are.
Por lo tanto, al interpretar los días
Therefore, when interpreting the days
nosotros vamos multiplicando por
we are multiplying by
1,25 cada momento
1.25 every moment
de la observación y nos va marcando
from the observation and it guides us
exactamente el día que corresponde.
exactly the day that corresponds.
Cuando empieza un fenómeno
When a phenomenon begins
meteorológico y cuando
meteorological and when
acaba, y se va interpretando todos los
ends, and it is interpreted all the
meses, todos los meses. Cuando acabamos
months, every month. When do we finish?
la interpretación por el método de las
the interpretation by the method of the
cabañolas maestras,
master cabins,
luego lo hacemos
then we'll do it
la interpretación de las
the interpretation of the
retorneras y luego los conjuntamos
you'll return and then we'll combine them
las dos y si en
the two and if in
una... vamos a poner que en una de las
one... let's say that in one of the
un día de las... el 1 de enero en
a day of... January 1st in
las cabañolas maestras nos
the master cabins us
ha proporcionado
has provided
ambiente lluvioso y sin embargo
rainy environment and yet
las retorneras es todo lo contrario.
The returners are the complete opposite.
El tiempo seco. Lo más
The dry weather. The most.
probable, como hemos
probable, as we have
observado todo el mes y se
observed all month and it
se computan
they are computed
los dos datos,
the two pieces of data,
lo que va a mandar siempre
what is always going to be sent
va a ser las cabañolas maestras.
it is going to be the master huts.
Pero no va a ocurrir exactamente
But it is not going to happen exactly.
como habían pronosticado las maestras
as the teachers had predicted
porque las retorneras nos dicen
because the returnees tell us
todo lo contrario. Por lo tanto, habrá
the opposite. Therefore, there will be
un valor intermedio entre las dos.
An intermediate value between the two.
Muy bien, vemos que es
Very well, we see that it is.
un método de estudio y un método
a study method and a method
muy complicado, pero para
very complicated, but for
que la gente lo entienda, ¿cuál es la
that people understand it, what is the
fiabilidad real
real reliability
de este método? La fiabilidad
of this method? The reliability
por ejemplo, se constata
for example, it is noted
con los resultados.
with the results.
Un observador experimentado
An experienced observer
la fiabilidad
reliability
es bastante elevada.
It is quite high.
No... vamos a ver
No... let's see.
si se pronostica
if it is forecasted
lo que ha pasado este año, por ejemplo,
what has happened this year, for example,
el pronóstico, que se cumple a lo mejor
the forecast, which may come true
con una semana de retraso.
with a week of delay.
Hay un desajuste.
There is a misalignment.
Cuando nosotros hacemos
When we do
un calendario climatológico
a climatic calendar
de las predicciones del tiempo
of the weather predictions
por el método de cabañolas,
by the method of cabañolas,
eso no es un tiempo exacto.
that is not an exact time.
Una persona culta
A cultured person
que entiende
that understands
no cree mucho
he doesn't believe much
en las cabañolas.
in the huts.
Pero evidentemente
But obviously
si el fenómeno ocurre
if the phenomenon occurs
con un retraso
with a delay
de 24 horas
24-hour
tampoco es significativo,
it is also not significant,
pero ocurre.
but it happens.
Efectivamente,
Indeed,
esta predicción, por ejemplo,
this prediction, for example,
ayer llovió
it rained yesterday
y estaba dentro de las predicciones
and it was within the predictions
de esta luna marcaba
of this moon marked
un tiempo
a time
que sería revuelto,
which would be scrambled,
tormentoso, ayer hubo una tormenta,
stormy, there was a storm yesterday,
el otro día hubo otra tormenta...
The other day there was another storm...
Entra dentro de los pronósticos.
It falls within the forecasts.
Es bastante fiable
It is quite reliable.
el método de cabañolas
the cabañolas method
ejecutado por profesionales
executed by professionals
que entienden del sistema de cabañolas.
that understand the cabañolas system.
Fiable, bastante fiable.
Reliable, quite reliable.
¿Tiene
Does it have
un componente científico?
a scientific component?
No.
No.
¿Hay una explicación racional sobre el hecho?
Is there a rational explanation for the fact?
No.
No.
¿Por qué se constatan
Why is it confirmed?
datos fiables
reliable data
y pronósticos fiables
and reliable forecasts
con el método de cabañolas?
with the cabañolas method?
Porque a lo largo
Because throughout
del tiempo
of time
esta observación
this observation
es un procedimiento
it is a procedure
empírico, está claro, ¿no?
Empirical, it’s clear, isn’t it?
Y luego se ha constatado con resultados
And then it has been confirmed with results.
a lo largo del tiempo.
over time.
Y el que ejecuta cabañolas
And the one who executes cabañolas.
no lo aprende en dos días,
you don't learn it in two days,
lo aprende en el transcurso del tiempo
He learns it over time.
al observar los fenómenos
upon observing the phenomena
que luego concuadran perfectamente
that will then fit perfectly
con lo que va a hacer al año siguiente.
with what he is going to do the following year.
Por lo tanto, la fiabilidad
Therefore, reliability
es bastante alta
she is quite tall
cuando lo hacen personas expertas.
when it is done by expert people.
Muy bueno.
Very good.
Pues estaremos un poco más atentos
Well, we will be a little more attentive.
en agosto para intentar
in August to try
saber qué va a pasar al año siguiente.
to know what is going to happen next year.
Volviendo un poco,
Returning a little,
en el tiempo real
in real time
nos has estado comentando
you have been telling us
que el Colegio de la Concepción
that the Colegio de la Concepción
en el que tienes tu observatorio
in which you have your observatory
tiene registros
it has records
de los últimos 100 años
of the last 100 years
y últimamente
and lately
en los últimos años
in recent years
está proporcionando información
is providing information
a la Agencia Estatal de Meteorología.
to the State Meteorological Agency.
¿Cómo
How
realizas,
you perform,
aparte de las cabañolas,
apart from the huts,
esta observación
this observation
utilizando los métodos actuales
using current methods
de la Agencia Estatal de Meteorología?
from the State Meteorological Agency?
Nosotros
We
a EMET
to EMET
antes INM
before INM
y antiguamente
and formerly
la Federación Agraria de Levante
the Agrarian Federation of Levante
el padre Arbona
Father Arbona
era un franciscano
he was a Franciscan
que pertenecía al Colegio de la Concepción
that belonged to the College of the Conception
y es el que impulsa
and it is what drives
la Federación Agraria de Levante
The Agrarian Federation of Levante
en sus tiempos.
in his times.
Ya se dedicaban
They were already dedicated.
siempre es tradición
it is always tradition
que los padres franciscanos
that the Franciscan fathers
tenien siempre
they always had
una garita
a sentry box
donde tenían siempre
where they always had
un termómetro y un pluviómetro manual.
a thermometer and a manual rain gauge.
Por lo tanto, independientemente
Therefore, regardless
de su colaboración
of your collaboration
con el Instituto Nacional de Meteorología
with the National Meteorological Institute
la Federación Agraria de Levante
The Agrarian Federation of Levante
siempre han tenido datos.
They have always had data.
Siempre.
Always.
¿Qué pasa?
What's happening?
Esa serie de datos se han ido acumulando
That series of data has been accumulating.
con el paso del tiempo
with the passage of time
y EMET, debido a la fiabilidad
and EMET, due to reliability
de sus observadores y de la continuidad
of its observers and of continuity
de la meteorología
of the meteorology
adquiere su protagonismo
gains prominence
al transcurrir el tiempo.
as time passes.
Un observador adquiere grandeza
An observer achieves greatness.
con el paso del tiempo
with the passage of time
porque los datos para determinar
because the data to determine
el clima de un lugar
the climate of a place
hacen falta datos de unos 30 años
Data from about 30 years is needed.
que algunos aficionados
that some fans
con el paso del tiempo lo van dejando.
Over time, they end up leaving it.
Nosotros los observadores de los colegios franciscanos
We the observers of the Franciscan schools
cuando se jubila uno
when one retires
pues siempre hay otro que continúa la labor
Well, there is always someone else who continues the work.
que inicia en uno
that starts at one
y la van reforzando e incluso cogen más datos.
and they are reinforcing it and even gathering more data.
Por lo tanto
Therefore
aquí en el Colegio de la Concepción
here in the Conception College
tenemos ya desde 1895
We have had it since 1895.
ya dos siglos
already two centuries
porque ahora estamos en el siglo XXI
because now we are in the 21st century
por lo tanto en el siglo XX
therefore in the 20th century
lo tenemos completo
we have it complete
y algunos datos del siglo XIX
and some data from the 19th century
Ahora tenemos datos ya
Now we have data already.
mucho más amplios
much broader
mucho más complejos
much more complex
y tenemos datos que no pasan
and we have data that does not go through
todos los días
every day
yo subo al colegio a tomar datos
I go up to school to take data.
sábados, domingos
Saturdays, Sundays
y si no puedo subir yo encargo a otra persona
And if I can't go up, I'll ask someone else.
porque tenemos dos estaciones
because we have two seasons
una manual y otra digital
one manual and one digital
la digital funciona por sí solo
the digital works by itself
y la manual
and the manual
es
is
AEMED
AEMED
la ha conservado sobre todo
has mostly preserved it
para cuando llueve
for when it rains
las estaciones
the stations
digitales, el pluviómetro que tiene
digitals, the rain gauge that it has
registrado cuando llueve torrencialmente
registered when it rains torrentially
como un buque
like a ship
y cuando miden impulsos eléctricos
and when they measure electrical impulses
de 0,2 litros por metro cuadrado
of 0.2 liters per square meter
se desajustan
they become misaligned
mientras que las manuales lo recogen
while the manuals collect it
son más fieles
they are more faithful
las manuales también tienen que estar
the manuals also have to be there
instaladas con unos requisitos
installed with some requirements
de distancia
of distance
entre arbolado, construcciones y demás
among trees, constructions and others
pero las digitales
but the digital ones
que apostó
who bet
AEMED por nosotros
AEMED for us
y como ya he dicho antes
and as I said before
debido a la fiabilidad de los observadores
due to the reliability of the observers
y de la continuidad en la toma de datos
and the continuity in data collection
de los observadores
of the observers
hoy en día salimos
Nowadays we go out.
en televisión española
on Spanish television
sale un tinien
a tin comes out
de toda la comunidad valenciana
from all of the Valencian community
sale muy poquito, sale Valencia
it comes out very little, it comes out Valencia
y una población me parece más
and a population seems more to me
y nosotros salimos todos los días
and we go out every day
precisamente
precisely
porque
because
debido a las series climáticas
due to climatic series
que tenemos que constan en Madrid
that we have to be registered in Madrid
la estación
the station
digital que tenemos
digital that we have
se puede entrevistar a distancia
It is possible to interview remotely.
registran los datos
they are recording the data
y aparecen todos los días dos veces a la semana
and they appear every day twice a week
dos veces al día
twice a day
una por la mañana y otra por la noche
one in the morning and another at night
muy bien
very good
¿y cuál es la función de esta estación?
What is the function of this station?
¿qué métodos utiliza?
What methods do you use?
¿qué registros tiene?
What records do you have?
las dos
the two
tomamos todos los días
we take every day
datos de sol
sun data
la insolación
sunburn
medimos la temperatura
we measure the temperature
medimos la humedad
we measure the humidity
medimos dirección
we measure direction
velocidad del tiempo
speed of time
medimos contaminación
we measure pollution
y
and
la radiación solar
solar radiation
también
also
¿cómo influyen estos factores?
How do these factors influence?
estos factores
these factors
como he dicho antes
as I said before
la finalidad de observarlos
the purpose of observing them
adquieren
they acquire
su razón
his reason
y su validez
and its validity
con el paso del tiempo
with the passage of time
todos estos fenómenos
all these phenomena
también observamos
we also observe
se dedica a observar las nieblas
he is dedicated to observing the fogs
las tormentas
the storms
cuando ocurre, cuando acaba
when it happens, when it ends
¿qué finalidad?
What purpose?
se construye un banco de datos
a database is being built
que sirven
that serve
para las compañías de seguros
for insurance companies
para los estudiantes
for the students
de las facultades
of the faculties
para el estudio del clima
for the study of the climate
para construir
to build
aparatos de insolación
sun exposure devices
o
o
qué tipo de instalación de instrumentos
What type of instrument installation?
hay que realizar en la industria
must be carried out in the industry
en función de
based on
¿tiene un tinyent
Do you have a tinyent?
alguna característica especial
any special feature
que la haga diferente
that makes her different
o más difícil
or more difficult
o más fácil
or easier
de observar
to observe
climatológicamente?
climatologically?
aquí tenemos
here we have
unas barreras
some barriers
cuando solo los temporales de levante
when only the east winds
un tinyent tiene un problema
A lieutenant has a problem.
que si entran muy debilitados
that if they enter very weakened
aquí no tenemos
here we don't have
dos problemas, con los temporales
two problems, with the storms
del poniente
from the west
o con los temporales de levante
or with the easterly storms
cuando los vientos son terrales
when the winds are dry winds
sí que tenemos más mucha velocidad
Yes, we do have a lot more speed.
del tiempo, cuando los
of time, when the
vientos son de recorrido marítimo
winds are of maritime trajectory
tenemos una barrera natural
we have a natural barrier
que es el mondúver
what is the Mondúver
toda la cadena de montañas del mondúver
the entire mountain range of Mondúver
¿qué hace? o son los temporales de levante
What is it doing? Or are they the Levantine storms?
muy fuertes
very strong
o allí hace que se desplome
or there it causes it to collapse
en toda la parte de Gandía
in the whole area of Gandía
en toda la parte de Pego
in the whole area of Pego
que es uno de los sitios que más llueve
that is one of the places that rains the most
con el mongó
with the lump
otra barrera natural
another natural barrier
entonces hay un resquicio ahí
so there's a crack there
entre el mongó y la cadena del mondúver
between the Mongó and the chain of Mondúver
que cuando viene ese temporal
that when that storm comes
por esa parte del sureste
on that part of the southeast
sí que entra una cuña
Yes, a wedge does fit.
y nos entra un temporal fuerte
and a strong storm hits us
pero si ese temporal de levante
but if that easterly storm
ya no nos entra
it no longer fits us
si son débiles
if they are weak
que es una barrera que tenemos
that is a barrier we have
en los vientos de levante
in the east winds
pero que no cabe duda
but there is no doubt
que los temporales de levante
that the Levant storms
que los de poniente
that those from the west
¿qué pasa? que aquí los temporales atlánticos
What's happening? The Atlantic storms are here.
tienen un recorrido
they have a route
por toda la meseta muy grande
across the very large plateau
y cuando los llegan aquí
and when they arrive here
llegan prácticamente desgastados
they arrive almost worn out
y tampoco tenemos
and we don't have either
gran cosa
great thing
pero sí que
but yes that
tenemos una cosa que nos afecta
we have something that affects us
que cuando el calor se recalienta
that when the heat overheats
con toda la meseta
with the whole plateau
nos entran los días
the days are upon us
tediosos del verano
tedious summer
caloríficos
calorific
porque se calienta mucho
because it gets very hot
a través de la meseta todo el aire caliente
through the plateau all the hot air
y cuando llega aquí a esta parte
and when he/she arrives here at this part
nos llegan vientos abrasadores
We are receiving scorching winds.
que nos queman en ciertos días del verano
that burn us on certain days of summer
esas también son dos cosas muy a tener en cuenta
Those are also two things to take into account.
luego tenemos otra cosa
then we have another thing
que la parte de San Esteve
that part of San Esteban
sí que, por ejemplo, la tormenta de ayer
yes, for example, yesterday's storm
se crea la parte de San Esteve
the San Esteve part is created
del componente noroeste
from the northwest component
y estas son las más efectivas
and these are the most effective
que afectan a la población
that affect the population
son las únicas tormentas
they are the only storms
que en estos cortos de tiempo
that in this short time
hacen lluvias torrenciales
they are making torrential rains
se forman trombos
thrombi are formed
e incluso granizo
and even hail
la última también ocurrió con esa misma trayectoria
The last one also occurred with that same trajectory.
las bolas de granizo
hailstones
un embolsamiento de aire frío de la atmósfera
a pocket of cold air from the atmosphere
se forman la parte de Poniente
they form the western part
y nos vienen aquí
and they come here to us
o sea que tenemos dos cosas
So we have two things.
resumiendo tenemos
in summary we have
los temporales de Levante o son potentes
The Levante storms are powerful.
o entran debilitados debido a la cadena del Mont Duvet
or enter weakened due to the Mont Duvet chain
los temporales de Poniente
the storms from the West
también cuando llegan aquí llegan muy debilitados
also when they arrive here they arrive very weakened
y tenemos como productivo
and we have as productive
son las tormentas
they are the storms
que se gestionan
that are managed
que nos entran por el noroeste
that come to us from the northwest
o también los vientos recalentados
or also the heated winds
de la meseta que nos llegan abrasadores
from the plateau that reach us scorching
aún tenían debido
they still had a debt
porque tiene mucho recorrido para calentarse
because it has a lot of distance to warm up
o sea, nos afecta lo malo
I mean, the bad affects us.
pero no lo bueno
but not the good one
Bueno, se nos está acabando el tiempo
Well, time is running out for us.
nos ha parecido muy interesante
it has seemed very interesting to us
toda la explicación que nos ha dado
all the explanation that you have given us
sobre todo las cabañuelas
especially the cabanuelas
que realmente la gente no conoce
that people really do not know
conocemos lo básico
we know the basics
lo que oímos de nuestros abuelos
what we heard from our grandparents
lo que oímos de la gente
what we hear from people
pero bueno, no sabemos que es un método
but well, we don't know what a method is
tan aplicado, tan importante
so applied, so important
en este caso
in this case
y bueno, ya para finalizar
and well, to finish up
una última pregunta
one last question
es obligada
is mandatory
prácticamente, ¿cuál será el tiempo
Practically, what will the weather be like?
que nos va a dar en Pascua?
What are we going to get for Easter?
Pues
Well
en estas Pascuas no va a llover
It won't rain this Easter.
pero la primavera sí que se va a presentar lluviosa
but spring is indeed going to be rainy
o sea, llover
that is, to rain
puede estar garantizado
can be guaranteed
que no hay lluvia en esta Semana Santa
that there is no rain this Easter
Aquí no entienden
Here they don't understand.
aquí no entienden
they don't understand here
pero sí que va a ser una primavera lluviosa
but it is going to be a rainy spring
una primavera que
a spring that
lluvias bien
good rains
generosas
generous
Muy bien, pues
Very well, then.
Pablo Guerra, muchas gracias por acudir a nuestro programa
Pablo Guerra, thank you very much for coming to our program.
muy interesante todo lo que nos has contado
very interesting everything you have told us
Gracias a ti por
Thank you for
permitirnos expresarnos en los medios
allow us to express ourselves in the media
en los medios
in the media
radiofónicos
radio broadcasters
Muchas gracias
Thank you very much.
Un saludo
A greeting
Mariana
Mariana
y
and
l'A дело que
The matter that
Rubén
Rubén
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